Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.002147 0.002339 0.002532 0.002738 0.002953 0.003169 0.003404
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.001749 0.002032 0.002324 0.002645 0.002988 0.003342 0.003734
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.001464 0.001812 0.002182 0.002601 0.003058 0.003538 0.004078
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.001271 0.001673 0.002112 0.002619 0.003183 0.003786 0.004472
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.001120 0.001565 0.002063 0.002650 0.003315 0.004033 0.004862
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.001008 0.001489 0.002041 0.002705 0.003466 0.004299 0.005268
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000903 0.001413 0.002012 0.002744 0.003595 0.004535 0.005637
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000796 0.001324 0.001960 0.002751 0.003681 0.004719 0.005946
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000680 0.001213 0.001873 0.002710 0.003707 0.004831 0.006169
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000600 0.001143 0.001832 0.002719 0.003787 0.005002 0.006456
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000532 0.001082 0.001797 0.002732 0.003870 0.005173 0.006742
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000501 0.001069 0.001822 0.002817 0.004037 0.005440 0.007136
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000486 0.001083 0.001887 0.002958 0.004280 0.005805 0.007656
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000381 0.000954 0.001758 0.002853 0.004223 0.005821 0.007774
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000308 0.000864 0.001675 0.002802 0.004231 0.005910 0.007975
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000263 0.000815 0.001646 0.002819 0.004319 0.006094 0.008286
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000227 0.000777 0.001629 0.002849 0.004424 0.006297 0.008619
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000202 0.000754 0.001633 0.002906 0.004560 0.006536 0.008994
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000175 0.000725 0.001625 0.002945 0.004674 0.006749 0.009338
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000144 0.000682 0.001594 0.002952 0.004745 0.006909 0.009619
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000108 0.000620 0.001529 0.002909 0.004751 0.006988 0.009803
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000086 0.000584 0.001503 0.002918 0.004822 0.007146 0.010078
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000068 0.000552 0.001481 0.002932 0.004898 0.007309 0.010360